The weather here gets influenced by Himalayas and low-resolution models fail to catch the effects of it. I believe, predicting weather of J&K is most difficult, at least in India. “While the first month went as per the prediction, but results weren’t good for the last two months. Last year, Faizan Arif released a long-range forecast for the entire winter. My prediction accuracy for the first five days is above 95%.Then, it decreased later on as the weather changes,” he said. “At times, I extend my forecasting to 20-35 days and have managed to get better results in that too.
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I am also researching how the impact on Europe, particularly around the Mediterranean and Black Sea regions by other global weather effects, can influence the weather of J&K and Ladakh Hopefully, I will fully crack it in the coming years,” he says and adds that he uses more than dozen weather models for forecasting. I am trying to link how phenomenon like La Niña, El Niño and neutral phase of ENSO disturb or create an impact on the weather of J&K and Ladakh and how the “Polar Vortex” influences the weather during winter. “Very little research has been done in this field. Off late, weather has become a more important subject for people of J&K due to the global warming, which impacts the horticulture and agriculture sectors of J&K, which contribute to more than 10% of UT’s GDP and provide livelihood to lakhs of people here. I explore many new things and try to link the global effects on the weather of Jammu and Kashmir.” “I have learned lot of nuances in this field, as I spend three to four hours daily on studying weather of J&K. I used to read a lot about weather and its patterns on weather apps everyday and slowly began to learn weather models and science related to it, which helped me a lot to put correct information in public domain,” said Keng.įaizan says he has been analysing the weather everyday for the past seven years. “Once I got hold of my smart phone, I used to check “AccuWeather”, besides listening to forecasts on evening shows of Doordarshan and Radio Kashmir. The young man is currently pursuing his bachelors in physics from a private university in Lucknow and the weather updates provided by him have generated a lot of interest not only among locals, but officials as well. Though I used to be afraid of the rapturous sound, my passion for it grew even more,” said Keng, while scanning weather charts on his computer at his home in the old city locality of Nawakadal. “When I was young, I used to sit near the windowsill and watch the lightning, roaring sound of thunder and windstorms. His predictions, which are based on scientific models and information, are mostly accurate and have earned him the sobriquet of “weather spotter” of Kashmir.
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